Sign in
OS

ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORP (ON)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue was $1.469B (+1.6% q/q, -15% y/y), non-GAAP gross margin 37.6% and non-GAAP EPS $0.53; revenue was modestly above S&P Global consensus ($1.451B*) and EPS was in line ($0.532*), as underutilization continued to weigh on margins . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Management sees “signs of stabilization” across end markets; automotive likely bottomed in Q2 and is guided up in Q3, while AI data center nearly doubled y/y and remains a standout growth vector .
  • Q3 2025 guide: revenue $1.465–$1.565B, non-GAAP GM 36.5–38.5%, non-GAAP EPS $0.54–$0.64, with ~900 bps under-absorption again embedded; OpEx guided down as restructuring savings materialize .
  • Capital return: repurchased $302.3M in Q2 and 107% of YTD FCF; ending cash and ST investments ~$2.8B; FCF was $106.1M in Q2 versus $454.7M in Q1 on working-capital timing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “We are beginning to see signs of stabilization across our end markets,” with AI data center nearly doubling y/y; China EV ramps drove 23% sequential China revenue growth and automotive expected to grow in Q3 .
    • Treo platform momentum (design funnel more than doubled q/q; >5M units shipped from EFK this year); first Treo revenues recognized and more products sampling, supporting long-term, accretive mix .
    • Discipline on costs and capital return: OpEx trended down sequentially on restructuring; company returned 107% of YTD FCF via buybacks, and maintained liquidity of ~$4B including revolver .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Margins compressed on continued underutilization (≈900 bps), with non-GAAP gross margin at 37.6% (down from 45.3% y/y and 40.0% q/q) as utilization remains ~68% post-impairment .
    • Automotive weak in US/Europe and softer “traditional” industrial; ISG faced strategy-driven E&O and repositioning headwinds (notably in H1), pressuring segment profitability .
    • Free cash flow fell to $106.1M on working capital timing; inventory days remained elevated (208 days, including 87 days of SiC transition “bridge” inventory), though management expects reductions in H2 .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,735.2 $1,445.7 $1,468.7
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %45.3% 40.0% 37.6%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %27.5% 18.3% 17.3%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.78 $(1.15) $0.41
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.96 $0.55 $0.53
Cash from Operations ($M)$362.2 $602.3 $184.3
Free Cash Flow ($M)$221.1 $454.7 $106.1

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)

SegmentQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
PSG$835.2 $645.1 $698.2
AMG$647.8 $566.4 $555.9
ISG$252.2 $234.2 $214.6
Total$1,735.2 $1,445.7 $1,468.7

Key KPIs (Q2 2025)

  • Inventory: 208 days total; includes 87 days of SiC “bridge” inventory for fab transitions .
  • Distribution inventory: 10.8 weeks (target 9–11 weeks) .
  • Utilization: ~68% post-capacity impairment basis (flat q/q) .
  • Share repurchase: $302.3M in Q2; 6.9M shares at ~$43.26 avg price .
  • Cash & ST investments: ~$2.8B at quarter-end .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ3 2025N/A$1.465B–$1.565B New (no prior Q3 guide)
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %Q3 2025N/A36.5%–38.5% New
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)Q3 2025N/A$280–$295 New
Other income/(expense) (non-GAAP)Q3 2025N/A+$8M benefit (net) New
Non-GAAP EPSQ3 2025N/A$0.54–$0.64 New
Diluted shares (M)Q3 2025N/A~410 New
Non-GAAP Tax RateQ3 2025N/A~16% New
CapexQ3 2025N/A$35–$50M New
RevenueQ2 2025$1.40B–$1.50B Actual: $1.469B In-line vs guide
Non-GAAP GM %Q2 202536.5%–38.5% Actual: 37.6% In-line
Non-GAAP EPSQ2 2025$0.48–$0.58 Actual: $0.53 In-line

Notes: Q3 guidance embeds ~900 bps under-absorption; utilization expected flat to slightly up; pricing environment stable; OpEx to trend lower from restructuring benefits .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/Data Center PowerSiC JFET acquisition; AI PSU/BBU wins; >40% growth in 2024 “AI data center nearly doubled y/y”; ramping SPS (single) and sampling dual SPS; power delivery is bottleneck Positive acceleration
AutomotiveChina strength; US/EU softness; Q1 auto down ~26% seq; LTSA flexibility Q2 auto down 4% seq; expected up in Q3; China EV ramps (e.g., Xiaomi); EU/US weak Stabilizing; China-led
IndustrialTraditional industrial weak; pockets in medical Industrial +2% q/q; “bouncing around bottom,” stabilization signs Early stabilization
PricingUsing selective pricing to defend/increase share; low single-digit declines “No change” in pricing environment; stable and within expectations Stable
Utilization/MarginsUtilization mid-50s in Q1; each point = 25–30 bps; ~900 bps under-absorption guide Utilization ~68% post-impairment; ~900 bps under-absorption again in Q3; full utilization now low-90% on new footprint Margin rebuild lever remains utilization
ISG RepositioningFocus on machine vision; trimming lower-value human vision Continuing repositioning; incremental non-core/legacy exits included in 5% 2026 headwind Portfolio mix-upgrading
Treo PlatformLaunched; 60–70% margin profile; first revenues in 2025 Design funnel >2x q/q; shipped >5M units YTD at EFK; more sampling Strong ramp

Management Commentary

  • “We are beginning to see signs of stabilization across our end markets, and we remain well-positioned to benefit from a market recovery.” — Hassane El‑Khoury, CEO .
  • “AI growth will be limited by power delivery rather than compute alone… Onsemi is the only broad-based U.S. power semiconductor supplier addressing this challenge.” — CEO .
  • “Our Q3 guide includes roughly 900 basis points of underutilization charges… every point of utilization is 25 to 30 basis points of gross margin improvement.” — Thad Trent, CFO .
  • “We returned 107% of our free cash flow to shareholders on a year-to-date basis.” — CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin mechanics: Utilization remains the primary lever; ~900 bps under-absorption persists into Q3; fully utilized threshold improved to low-90s post-impairment, adding margin sensitivity per point .
  • Automotive outlook: China EV ramps and PHEV designs (trench SiC) underpin recovery; NA/EU remain cautious; auto expected up in Q3 .
  • ISG strategy: Continued focus on machine vision/ADAS; 2026 revenue headwind from legacy/non-core exits estimated at ~$50–$100M, inclusive of the 5% baseline exit .
  • Inventory/pricing: Inventory peaked in Q2; expected to decline in H2; pricing environment stable; selective pricing used tactically .
  • AI power: Sampling dual SPS; tied to XPU roadmaps; standard 12–18 month qual cycles .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $1.469B vs $1.451B*, EPS $0.53 vs $0.532*; 30 EPS estimates and 28 revenue estimates contributed; essentially in-line on EPS and a slight revenue beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Implication: With stable pricing and flat-to-up utilization outlook, estimate revisions will likely focus on mix, AI ramp cadence, and the pace of auto/industrial stabilization .
MetricConsensus*Actual
Revenue ($USD Millions)1,451.11,468.7
Primary EPS ($)0.5320.53
EPS estimates (#)28
Revenue estimates (#)30

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Results were broadly in line with consensus; the narrative shifts to Q3 guide (flat-to-up revenue, EPS mid-$0.50s–$0.60s) and signs of end-market stabilization; watch under-absorption persistence and utilization trajectory for margin re-rate .
  • Auto: China-led EV ramps and PHEV redesigns (trench SiC) support sequential recovery in Q3; breadth across BEV/PHEV and die/module flexibility aids share gains despite regional weakness .
  • AI/Data Center: Power-delivery bottleneck plays to ON’s strengths; SPS and SiC JFET/MOSFET portfolio positioning suggests durable multi-year growth optionality .
  • Mix & Portfolio: Treo platform momentum and ISG repositioning should enhance long-term margin quality (>60% Treo margins), while non-core exits (~5% revenue into 2026) ease structural drag .
  • Cash discipline: Strong liquidity (~$2.8B cash/STI), capital intensity trending mid-single digits, and active buybacks (107% of YTD FCF) provide downside support through the cycle .
  • Watch items: Utilization inflection (each point adds ~25–30 bps GM), China EV demand durability, pricing discipline, and the pace of inventory normalization (bridge inventory unwind) .

Appendix: Additional Data

Revenue by End-Market (Q2 2025; $USD Millions)

  • Automotive: $733.2 (down from $906.9 y/y) .
  • Industrial: $406.2 (down from $468.0 y/y) .
  • Other (computing/consumer/comm): $329.3 (down from $360.3 y/y) .

Free Cash Flow (LTM as provided)

  • LTM FCF $1,287.3M; LTM revenue $6,398.8M (company supplemental) .

Disclosures: Underutilization charges, special items, and non-GAAP definitions are detailed in the company’s reconciliation disclosures .